Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000140 0.000156 0.000172 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000263
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195 0.000230 0.000271 0.000321
2025-10-19 0.000102 0.000127 0.000157 0.000195 0.000243 0.000301 0.000376
2025-10-26 0.000089 0.000116 0.000150 0.000195 0.000254 0.000328 0.000431
2025-11-02 0.000079 0.000107 0.000143 0.000193 0.000262 0.000354 0.000484
2025-11-09 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000193 0.000272 0.000381 0.000543
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000092 0.000132 0.000191 0.000279 0.000403 0.000595
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000190 0.000287 0.000428 0.000654
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000082 0.000124 0.000191 0.000296 0.000455 0.000717
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000077 0.000119 0.000189 0.000301 0.000476 0.000773
2025-12-14 0.000046 0.000074 0.000118 0.000192 0.000314 0.000509 0.000850
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000071 0.000116 0.000193 0.000323 0.000538 0.000923
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000067 0.000112 0.000192 0.000331 0.000565 0.000995
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000065 0.000112 0.000196 0.000346 0.000605 0.001095
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000063 0.000109 0.000196 0.000355 0.000637 0.001183
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000060 0.000107 0.000196 0.000363 0.000666 0.001268
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000057 0.000104 0.000195 0.000368 0.000692 0.001350
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000055 0.000102 0.000195 0.000377 0.000723 0.001443
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000052 0.000099 0.000193 0.000380 0.000745 0.001523
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000192 0.000387 0.000774 0.001617
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000048 0.000095 0.000192 0.000396 0.000807 0.001724
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000046 0.000092 0.000190 0.000399 0.000830 0.001810
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000045 0.000092 0.000193 0.000413 0.000876 0.001949